AGNT40 KWNM 151455
MIMATN

Marine Weather Discussion for N Atlantic Ocean
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
955 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.FORECAST DISCUSSION...Major features/winds/seas/significant 
.weather for the North Atlantic Ocean W of 50W from 30N to 50N.

low pressure will move northeast near the coast over the waters 
and that will maintain a tight pressure gradient over the waters
in the short term. NCEP weather map has low pressure 1011 Mb 
over the far southwestern waters and its warm front stretches 
east across the far southern waters. High pressure 1039 MB over 
Maine has its ridge into the northern waters. 

Seas are relatively large and they range between 9 and 13 ft 
over the central and southern waters with a peak at 15 ft over 
the central waters and they range between 4 and 9 ft over the 
northern with smaller seas over the northwestern portion. NWW3 
model fits well the seas pattern. ECMWFWAVE model also generally 
fits well with the observed seas pattern over the forecast 
waters. Will use NWW3 for seas.

Global models GFS/CMC/UKMETHR/ECMWFHR have initialized well the 
synoptic surface observations. In the short term, the models just
differ slightly on the wind speed as GFS and CMC continue with 
Storm force winds. Will continue with GFS guidance.

-----------------------------------------------------------------
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

The current GOES infrared satellite imagery shows an intense low
pressure system in the central Atlc this morning with the low 
center to the E of the Newfoundland. In addition, the imagery 
also reveals cold cumulus streaming across the Gulf of Maine in 
the strong cold advection in the wake of the system, although 
current surface observations indicate the gales previously over
NT1 last night have moved E of the offshore waters. An Ascat 
overpass from 00Z also indicated gales just E of the offshore 
waters with winds as high as 45 kt off the coast of Nova Scotia,
but the system has moved quickly E since the time of the pass
taking the higher winds with it. The 00Z GFS/ECMWF winds are 
initialized fairly well when compared with the data, and 
the models indicate that the winds will continue decreasing over
NT1 today as high pressure builds over NT1. 

Further S, observations along the SE coast show sustained winds
right along the coast to 30 kt overnight with several buoys off 
the South Carolina coast gusting to as high as 40 kt with a warm
front over the far srn waters tightening the pressure gradient
between the high building to the N. In addition, Ascat from 03Z 
indicated a few gales along the SE coast. The latest NCEP surface
analysis also shows low pressure along the W coast of Florida, 
and the 00Z models all indicate the low will strengthen while
moving NE along the SE coast today before moving offshore near
the Virginia Capes late today into tonight while pulling a strong
cold front offshore. The GFS is about the strongest with the
winds associated with this feature, and indicates widespread 
gales across the offshore waters with a few smaller areas with 
storm force winds mainly near the low. The 00Z ECMWF/UKMET/GEM 
are all weaker with the winds and show no more than 40 kt. 
However, all of the models show a strong shortwave moving 
offshore tonight which should act to increase the forcing with 
the associated surface feature. Previous preference was with the 
intensity of the GFS, and this still makes sense since the upper 
levels suggest strong development. As a result, confidence with 
the previous storm and gale headlines is above average, so 
planning on staying near the previous grids with this system. 

On Sat, the 00Z models indicate high pressure building over the 
W Atlc, before a weak front moves across nrn NT1 Sat night. The
models then show the high moving slowly across the area into Sun,
before another weak front moves offshore Mon. The GFS has been an
outlier solution with the front on Mon, while the 00Z ECMWF has
been consistently in somewhat decent agreement with the UKMET. In
addition, the WPC medium range guidance is favoring the ECMWF
solution, so planning on using the 00Z ECMWF from Sat through the
end of the forecast period as a result of the better support from
the rest of the guidance.

.Seas...Will be making minor adjustments to the previous wave
height grids to account for current data, as the previous
grids seem reasonable. Will then transition to the 00Z ECMWF WAM
on Sat to match the preferred winds of the 00Z ECMWF while making
minor adjustments to match up with the adjacent coastal zones.

.EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE GUIDANCE...The 00Z ESTOFS and ETSS 
are both showing a positive surge along the Mid Atlc and New 
England coasts this afternoon into Fri with the strong coastal 
low expected to develop. The ESTOFS continues to show values 
greater than 2 ft from the Virginia Capes to Long Island Sound
tonight, and up to 1 ft along the New England coast Fri. The
ESTOFS is roughly 50 percent higher than the ETSS which seems a 
little underdone. Please continue to closely monitor the latest 
coastal WFO forecasts over the next few days for more
information.



.WARNINGS...Preliminary.

.NT1 New England Waters...
.ANZ800...Gulf of Maine...
     Gale tonight into Friday. 
.ANZ805...Georges Bank west of 68W...
     Storm tonight into Friday. 
.ANZ900...Georges Bank east of 68W...
     Gale tonight.
     Storm Friday.
     Gale Friday night.
.ANZ810...South of New England...
     Gale tonight.
     Storm Friday.
.ANZ815...South of Long Island...
     Gale today.
     Storm tonight into Friday. 

.NT2 Mid-Atlantic Waters...
.ANZ820...Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon...
     Gale today.
     Storm tonight into Friday. 
.ANZ915...Hudson Canyon to the Great South Channel...
     Gale today.
     Storm tonight into Friday. 
.ANZ920...Baltimore Canyon to the Great South Channel...
     Gale today.
     Storm tonight.
     Gale Friday.
.ANZ905...The Great South Channel to the Hague Line...
     Storm tonight into Friday. 
     Gale Friday night.
.ANZ910...East of the Great South Channel and south of 39N...
     Storm tonight into Friday. 
.ANZ825...Inner Waters from Baltimore Canyon to Cape Charles Light...
     Gale today into Friday. 
.ANZ828...Inner Waters from Cape Charles Light to Currituck Beach Light...
     Gale today into Friday. 
.ANZ925...Outer Waters from Baltimore Canyon to Hatteras Canyon...
     Gale today.
     Storm tonight.
     Gale Friday.
.ANZ830...Inner Waters from Currituck Beach Light to Cape Hatteras...
     Gale today into tonight. 
.ANZ833...Inner Waters from Cape Hatteras to Cape Fear...
     Gale today into tonight. 
.ANZ930...Outer Waters from Hatteras Canyon to Cape Fear...
     Gale today into Friday. 
.ANZ835...Inner Waters from Cape Fear to 31N...
     Gale today.
.ANZ935...Outer Waters from Cape Fear to 31N...
     Gale today.

$$

.Forecaster Musonda/Kells. Ocean Prediction Center.
Last Update:14:56Z, 15 November 2018
Updates: Four times per day

FZNT21 KWBC 151502
OFFNT1

Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

New England continental shelf and slope waters from 25 nm
offshore to the Hague Line, except to 1000 fm south of New
England.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ898-160445-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR NEW ENGLAND WATERS...Strong high pressure will
build E over the waters today, then shift E of the region
tonight. Developing low pressure will approach from the S
tonight, then intensify as it moves NE across the area Fri into
Fri night while pulling a strong cold front over the waters. A
weaker cold front will approach the area from the NW Sat, then
move SE across the waters Sat night. Another high will build E
over the area Sun, then shift E of the region Sun night. Low
pressure will pass N of the area Mon into Mon night while pulling
a cold front across the waters.  

$$

ANZ800-160445-
Gulf of Maine to the Hague Line-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming E to NE 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds becoming 15 to 25 kt, then increasing to 30 to 40
kt. Seas subsiding to 3 to 5 ft, then building to 8 to 13 ft. Snow.
.FRI...E winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming N. Seas building to 10 to 17
ft. Chance of rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Winds diminishing to W 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.SAT...W winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN...N to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SW 10 to 20 kt. Seas
subsiding to 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...S winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W. Seas building to 4 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 to 11
ft.

$$

ANZ805-160445-
Georges Bank between Cape Cod and 68W north of 1000 fm-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds becoming 25 to 35 kt, then increasing to 40 to 50
kt. Seas becoming 6 to 10 ft, then building to 11 to 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds becoming SW 40 to 50 kt, then becoming W to NW 35 
to 45 kt. Seas building to 13 to 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds diminishing to 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to
10 to 18 ft.
.SAT...W winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN...NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N less than 10 kt. Seas 4 to 8
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SE 10 to 20
kt. Seas becoming 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...S winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W. Seas becoming 4 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas building to 6 to 10 ft.

$$

ANZ900-160445-
Georges Bank between 68W and the Hague Line-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E to NE 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds becoming 20 to 30 kt, then increasing to 35 to 45
kt. Seas subsiding to 4 to 8 ft, then building to 9 to 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E winds 40 to 50 kt, becoming W 35 to 45 kt. Seas building to
13 to 22 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds diminishing to 25 to 35 kt, then becoming
W 25 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 20 ft.
.SAT...W winds diminishing to 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 9 to 16
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 to 9 ft.
.SUN...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
becoming 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming S to SE 10 to
20 kt. Seas subsiding to 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...S to SE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W to SW 20 to 30 kt. Seas
building to 5 to 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas becoming 7 to 10 ft.

$$

ANZ810-160445-
South of New England between the Great South Channel and Montauk
Point to 1000 fm-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E to NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 20 to 30 kt. Seas 4
to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds increasing to 35 to 45 kt. Seas building to 11 to
18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds shifting to W to SW 40 to 50 kt, then becoming W to NW
35 to 45 kt. Seas building to 13 to 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds diminishing to 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to
10 to 17 ft.
.SAT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 20 kt. Seas
subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming NE. Seas subsiding to 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SE 10 to 20 kt.
Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...Winds becoming W to SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas becoming 4 to 8 
ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming NW 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

$$

ANZ815-160445-
South of Long Island between Montauk Point and Sandy Hook to
1000 fm-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 6
ft, building to 6 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds increasing to 40 to 50 kt, then diminishing to 35
to 45 kt. Seas building to 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds shifting to W to SW 40 to 50 kt, then becoming W 20 to
30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 13 ft.
.SAT...W to NW winds diminishing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas subsiding to 6
to 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt.
Seas subsiding to 4 to 7 ft.
.SUN...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming E to NE 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S to SE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...Winds increasing to W 15 to 25 kt. Seas becoming 4 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming N to NW 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

.Forecaster Musonda. Ocean Prediction Center.
Last Update:15:04Z, 15 November 2018
Updates: Four times per day

FZNT22 KWBC 151502
OFFNT2

Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ899-160445-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS...High pressure will pass N of the
area today, then move off to NE tonight. A warm front will lift N
across the southern and central waters today as developing low
pressure tracks NE along the SE coast. The low will move offshore
near the Virginia Capes this afternoon while continuing to
strengthen, then pass N of the area tonight into Fri while
pulling a strong cold front across the waters. Another high will
build E towards the waters Fri night, move E over the area Sat
into Sun, then shift NE of the region Sun night. A cold front
will move E across the waters Mon into Mon night as low pressure
passes N of the area. 

$$

ANZ820-160445-
Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon to 1000 fm-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 8
ft, building to 9 to 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E winds increasing to 40 to 50 kt, then becoming SW 30 to
40 kt. Seas building to 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W winds increasing to 40 to 50 kt, then diminishing to 20 to
30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 to 12
ft.
.SAT...NW winds diminishing to 15 to 20 kt, then becoming W 10 to 15
kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Winds becoming N to NW 10 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding 
to 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S to SW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 5 ft.
.MON...Winds becoming W to NW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

ANZ915-160445-
Between 1000 fm and 38.5N west of 69W-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E to NE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming E 30 to 40 kt. Seas 7
to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds increasing to 40 to 50 kt, then diminishing to 35
to 45 kt. Seas building to 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds shifting to W to SW 40 to 50 kt, then becoming W 35 to
45 kt. Seas building to 14 to 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds diminishing to 25 to 30 kt, then becoming NW 20
to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 11 to 18 ft.
.SAT...NW winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas subsiding
to 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt. Seas
subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming variable. Seas subsiding to 4 to
6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S to SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SW 15 to 25 kt.
Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...W to SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming N to NW 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

$$

ANZ920-160445-
Baltimore Canyon to 69W east of 1000 fm and south of 38.5N to
250 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...Winds increasing to S to SE 40 to 50 kt, then becoming S
to SW. Seas building to 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds becoming W to NW 35 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 21 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds diminishing to 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to
10 to 17 ft.
.SAT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds diminishing to 5 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 5
to 8 ft.
.SUN...N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming variable. Seas subsiding to 4 to
6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S to SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SW 15 to 25 kt.
Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.MON...W to SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming NW 15 to 25 kt, then becoming N 15 
to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.

$$

ANZ905-160445-
East of 69W to the Hague Line between 1000 fm and 39N-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E to NE 15 to 25 kt.
Seas 7 to 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds increasing to 30 to 40 kt, then becoming E to SE
40 to 50 kt. Seas building to 11 to 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds becoming W to SW 35 to 50 kt. Seas building to 14 
to 22 ft. Rain with VSBY 1 nm or less.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds becoming 30 to 40 kt, then diminishing to 25 to
30 kt. Seas 13 to 22 ft.
.SAT...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt. Seas
subsiding to 10 to 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas subsiding to 6 to 11 ft.
.SUN...NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SE. Seas 5 to
6 ft.
.MON...S winds increasing to 15 to 25 kt, then becoming W to SW 20
to 30 kt. Seas becoming 5 to 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft.

$$

ANZ910-160445-
East of 69W and south of 39N to 250 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming E 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12
ft.
.TONIGHT...E to SE winds increasing to 30 to 40 kt, then becoming S
40 to 50 kt. Seas building to 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Winds becoming W 40 to 50 kt. Seas building to 16 to 22 
ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds diminishing to 20 to 30 kt. Seas becoming
12 to 21 ft.
.SAT...NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 9 to 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
subsiding to 6 to 10 ft.
.SUN...N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N. Seas subsiding to 5 to
7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to NE winds less than 10 kt, becoming S to SE. Seas 5
to 6 ft.
.MON...S to SW winds increasing to 15 to 25 kt, then becoming W 20
to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt. Seas
6 to 8 ft.

$$

ANZ825-160445-
Baltimore Canyon to Cape Charles Light to 100 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W to SW 30 to 40 kt. Seas
building to 11 to 18 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W to NW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming NW 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10
to 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT...N to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4
to 6 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E to NE 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt. Seas
4 to 5 ft.
.MON...W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

$$

ANZ828-160445-
Cape Charles Light to Currituck Beach Light to 100 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming S to SE 30 to 40 kt. Seas 10
to 13 ft, building to 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Winds diminishing to SW 20 to 30 kt, then becoming W 30
to 40 kt. Seas subsiding to 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI...W to NW winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming NW 15 to 25 kt. Seas
subsiding to 8 to 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds diminishing to 10 to 15 kt, then becoming
N. Seas subsiding to 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming NW 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N to NW winds less than 10 kt, becoming N to NE. Seas 4
to 6 ft.
.SUN...NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Winds shifting to S to SW 10 to 20 kt, then becoming W
to SW 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas building to 4
to 7 ft.

$$

ANZ925-160445-
Baltimore Canyon to Hatteras Canyon between 100 nm and 250 nm
offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming SE 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 13
ft, building to 11 to 19 ft. Chance of rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 40 to 50 kt, becoming S to SW 35 to 45 kt. Seas
12 to 20 ft. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.FRI...Winds becoming W 30 to 40 kt, then becoming NW 20 to 30 
kt. Seas subsiding to 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 14 ft.
.SAT...N to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
subsiding to 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SUN...N to NE winds less than 10 kt, becoming E to NE. Seas 5 to 6
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Winds increasing to S to SE 10 to 20 kt, then becoming
S to SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.MON...W to SW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming N to NW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

ANZ830-160445-
Currituck Beach Light to Cape Hatteras to 100 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming S 30 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 19
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming W. Seas subsiding to 10 to
14 ft. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.FRI...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming NW 10 to 20 kt. Seas
becoming 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 8 ft.
.SAT...N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N to NW 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 7
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N to NW winds less than 10 kt, becoming N. Seas 4 to 6
ft.
.SUN...NE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON...W to NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Winds becoming N 10 to 15 kt, then becoming 10 to 
20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.

$$

ANZ833-160445-
Cape Hatteras to Cape Fear to 100 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming S 25 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 18
ft. Rain. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.TONIGHT...Winds becoming W to SW 20 to 30 kt, then becoming W 
25 to 35 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI...NW winds 20 to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to
12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 7
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N to NE winds less than 10 kt, becoming variable. Seas
4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E to NE winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft.
.MON...Winds becoming W to SW 5 to 15 kt, then becoming N. Seas 
4 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5
ft.

$$

ANZ930-160445-
Hatteras Canyon to Cape Fear between 100 nm and 250 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...E to SE winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming S to SE 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...S winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W to SW 25 to 35 kt. Seas
subsiding to 9 to 14 ft. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.FRI...W winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming NW 15 to 20 kt. Seas becoming 7
to 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 6 to 10 ft.
.SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E to NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...E to NE winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming E 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SE. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...S winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming SW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to SW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft.

$$

ANZ835-160445-
Cape Fear to 31N to 1000 fm-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...S to SE winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W to SW 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 8 to 14 ft. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.TONIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to 6 to 11 ft.
.FRI...NW winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming N to NW 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to
10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT...NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming E to NE 10 to 20 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON...N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6
ft.

$$

ANZ935-160445-
Cape Fear to 31N east of 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore-
1002 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...S to SE winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming S 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9
to 13 ft. Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.TONIGHT...S to SW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas subsiding to 8 to 11 ft.
Scattered showers and TSTMs.
.FRI...Winds becoming NW 15 to 25 kt, then becoming N to NW 10 
to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 6 to 8 ft.
.SAT...NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT and SUN...E to NE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.MON...S to SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N to NW winds less than 10 kt, increasing to 5 to 15
kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.

$$

.Forecaster Musonda. Ocean Prediction Center.
Last Update:15:04Z, 15 November 2018
Updates: Four times per day

FZNT01 KWBC 151605
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV 
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 
1630 UTC THU NOV 15 2018 

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION 
IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE) 

METAREA IV BULLETIN WILL ONLY BE BROADCAST FROM THE INMARSAT 
AORE SATELLITE STARTING AT 1645 UTC ON NOV 15. PLEASE ENSURE 
YOUR RECEIVER IS POINTED CORRECTLY. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 

FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH 
AMERICAN ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML 

PAN PAN 

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC NOV 15. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 16. 
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC NOV 17. 

.WARNINGS. 

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING... 
.LOW 50N45W 947 MB MOVING E 25 KT. WITHIN 480 NM S AND 600 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 TO 45 FT. ALSO WITHIN 660 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 1080 NM S AND SW SEMICIRCLES AND 540 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST E OF AREA 51N32W 956 MB. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 
KT. SEAS  28 TO 48 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM W AND 1140 NM S 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 55N28W 985 MB. CONDITIONS 
DESCRIBED WITH LOW 60N40W.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING... 
.FRONT FROM 58N45W TO 60N40W TO 62N38W TO 63N35W. WITHIN 60 NM N 
AND NW OF THE FRONT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND NW OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 58N35W 962 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W AND 360 
NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 540 NM W AND 480 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 24 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N40W 967 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SE OF THE 
GREENLAND COAST N OF 63N WINDS 50 TO 70 KT. SEAS 26 TO 44 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N40W 972 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N 
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. 

...STORM WARNING... 
.LOW 32N78W 1011 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT 
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N75W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E AND NE 
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N73W 993 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E AND SE AND 
120 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 31N AND WITHIN 660 NM E AND SE AND 420 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N55W 979 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM NE...720 NM SE...AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING... 
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS 
W OF A LINE FROM 67N55W TO 62N60W TO 59N61W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF A LINE 
FROM 67N55W TO 63N56W TO 62N60W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF A LINE 
FROM 67N53W TO 64N55W TO 61N63W. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.WITHIN 240 NM W OF A LINE FROM 61N53W TO 67N51W WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT WHERE NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION WITHIN 
180 NM W AND SW OF THE GREENLAND COAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 14 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT WHERE NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION WITHIN 
180 NM W AND SW OF THE GREENLAND COAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 16 FT.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N57W 1029 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 34N54W 1027 MB. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH S OF AREA.

.FORECASTER ACHORN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 17.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 09N TO 20N E OF E OF 50W...AND FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 
50W AND 58W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF A LINE FROM 20N35W TO 23N50W TO 25N65W TO 25N70W 
TO 24N74W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 22N BETWEEN 45W AND 65W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF A LINE 22N35W 
TO 22N50W TO 27N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE TO 
E SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N W OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST W OF 52W. S OF 18N E OF 40W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.ATLC N OF 25N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
NW SWELL. N OF 29.5N AND W OF LINE FROM 31N70W TO 29.5N75W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N35W TO 28N45W TO 31N60W. N 
OF FRONT E OF 42W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT IN 
NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 14 
FT IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 27N E OF 65W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 24N35W TO 24N40W TO 26N50W TO 
30N53W. N OF 21N E OF 49W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT 
IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF A LINE FROM 31N56W TO 
24N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. 

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N87W TO 28N81W. N OF 29.5N AND W OF LINE 
FROM 31N70W TO 29.5N75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N73W TO 27N75W TO 22N81W. N 
OF 27N E OF FRONT TO 65W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 65W AND 73W AND E OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N66W TO 29N70W THEN 
STATIONARY TO 25N75W TO 22N81W. S OF 24N W OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN COLD FRONT FROM 23N83W TO 16N85W. W OF FRONT NW TO N 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 22N81W TO 16N86W. W OF FRONT NW TO 
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N78W TO 16N85W. WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FROM 26N81W TO 23N83W. E OF LINE FROM 
29N90W TO 23N90W TO 22N94W TO 20N96W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST IN THE SE GULF AND BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST FRONT SE OF AREA. E OF 87W...AND S OF 24N 
BETWEEN 87W AND 90W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT S 
OF 26N...HIGHEST IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N E OF 86W...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
Last Update:16:06Z, 15 November 2018
Updates: Four times per day