Hurricane Warnings in Effect

Atlantic:  High Seas

Pacific:  High Seas EP1 and EPI

Publications

For publications and posters from the U.S. National Ice Center, visit https://usicecenter.gov/Resources/ImsInfo.

Formal Papers:

Campos, R.M., D. Figurskey, A. Mehra, and J. Sienkiewicz, 2025: Probabilistic Wave Forecast for Week 2 and beyond Based on NOAA’s Global Ensemble Forecast System. Published in Weather and Forecasting.

Chen, J.-H., T. Marchok, M. Bender, K. Gao, S. Gopalakrishnan, L. Harris, A. Hazelton, B. Liu, A. Mehra, M. Morin, F. Yang, X. Zhang, Z. Zhang, and L. Zhou, 2025: Closing the Gap - Hurricane Prediction Advances in the U.S. FV3-Based Models. Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Sudharsan, N., M. Singh, S. Talukdar, S. Mohanty, H. Kamath, K.K. Osuri, H. Dashtian, M. Young, Z.-L. Yang, C. Dawson, L.R. Leung, S. Gopalakrishnan, A. Mehra, V. Tallapragada, and D. Niyogi, 2025: Enhancing Near Real Time AI-NWP Hurricane Forecasts: Improving Explainability and Performance Through Physics-Based Models and Land Surface Feedback. Published in Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics.

Xue, Y., S.M. Simon, J.R. Anderson, P. Pegion, N.P. Barton, C.F. Baggett, C. Stan, N.C. Johnson, S. Akella, E. Becker, A. Mehra, M. Olsen, E. Shevliakova, J.S. Whitaker, and J. Zhu, 2025: Advancing NOAA’s Subseasonal and Seasonal Applications and Enhancing Collaboration among Stakeholders, Modelers, and Researchers. Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Zhang, X., V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, and A. Mehra, 2025: Editorial: Tropical cyclone modeling and prediction: advances in model development and its applications. Published in Frontiers in Earth Science.

Alaka Jr., G.J., J.A. Sippel, Z. Zhang, H.-S. Kim, F.D. Marks, V. Tallapragada, A. Mehra, X. Zhang, A. Poyer, and S.G. Gopalakrishnan, 2024: Lifetime Performance of the Operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model (HWRF) for North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones. Published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Campos, R.M., A. Abdolali, J.-H. Alves, M. Masarik, J. Meixner, A. Mehra, D. Figurskey, S. Banihashemi, J. Sienkiewicz, and R. Lumpkin, 2024: Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-Year Global Wave Ensemble Reforecast. Published in Weather and Forecasting.

Reiss, A.J., D. Figurskey, C. Bassett, and T. Cuff, 2021: Preparing a Workforce for the New Blue Economy People, Products and Policies, Chapter 5 - Propelling the new blue economy with safer marine transportation and infrastructure. Published in ScienceDirect.

Smith, S.R., G. Alory, A. Andersson, W. Asher, A. Baker, D.I. Berry, K. Drushka, D. Figurskey, E. Freeman, P. Holthus, T. Jickells, H. Kleta, E.C. Kent, N. Kolodziejczyk, M. Kramp, Z. Loh, P. Poli, U. Schuster, E. Steventon, S. Swart, O. Tarasova, L. Petit de la Villéon, and N. Vinogradova-Shiffer, 2019: Ship-Based Contributions to Global Ocean, Weather, and Climate Observing Systems. Published in Frontiers in Marine Science.

Chelton, D.B., M.H. Freilich, J.M. Sienkiewicz, and J.M. Von Ahn, 2006: On the Use of QuikSCAT Scatterometer Measurements of Surface Winds for Marine Weather Prediction. Published in Monthly Weather Review.

Von Ahn, J.M., J.M. Sienkiewicz, and P.S. Chang, 2006: Operational Impact of QuikSCAT Winds at the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center. Published in Weather and Forecasting.

Hoffman, R.N. and S.M. Leidner, 2005: An Introduction to the Near-Real-Time QuikSCAT Data. Published in Weather and Forecasting.

Conferences and Posters:

Byrd, J., M. Folmer, and C. Joseph, 2025: OPC’s Hosting of the 2024 Mariners’ Hazards Workshop. Presented at the 105th Annual AMS Meeting, poster.

Campos, R.M. and H.-S. Kim, 2025: Intercomparison of Wave Observations within Tropical Cyclones. Presented at the 105th Annual AMS Meeting, poster.

Taylor, S., J. Edwards-Opperman, R. Sale, W. Clark, L. Mallory, C. Gerland, D. Helmricks, K. Berberich, and G. Monaghan, 2025: USNIC Provides IDSS Across Washington, D.C. Waterways & The Great Lakes. Presented at The International Ice Charting Working Group (IICWG).

Meixner, J., M. Masarik, S. Banihashemi, A. Salimi-Tarazouj, R.M. Campos, and A. Mehra, 2025: Updates on Wave Coupling for the next Global Forecast System GFSv17. Presented at the 105th Annual AMS Meeting, presentation.

Banihashemi, S., R.M. Campos, J. Meixner, N.P. Barton, B. Fu, M. Masarik, A. Salimi Tarazouj, and A. Mehra, 2024: Evaluation of the Wave Component in the Next-Generation Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFSv13). Presented at the AGU 2024 Meeting.

Ehrbar, E. and C. Joseph, 2024: An Assessment of a Hurricane Force Extratropical Cyclone over the Eastern Pacific - Impacts to the Mariner. Presented at the 104th Annual AMS Meeting, poster.

Malloy, K., 2017: Identifying stratospheric air intrusions and associated hurricane-force wind events over the North Pacific Ocean (AMS poster) – (thesis poster).

Mazur, K., 2017: Atlantic Hurricane-Force Storms: Identifying Stratospheric Air Intrusions and the Effects of Hurricane-Force Wind Events on the Iceberg Limit, (poster).

Farrell, K.K., 2016: Improving Understanding of Supercell Thunderstorms in Atlantic Offshore Zones, (poster).

Sienkiewicz, J.M., 2016: The Avoidance of High Winds and Seas by Ships Transiting the Pacific and Atlantic, (poster).

Advances in Extratropical Cyclone Understanding and Prediction Since the 1979 Presidents' Day Storm, 2014. NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction, College Park, Maryland.

Sienkiewicz, J.M., 2004: Scatterometer Inferred Winds in the Vicinity of the Gulf Stream. Preprints, Eighth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface, Seattle, WA.

Sienkiewicz, J.M., S. Prosise, A. Crutch, 2004: Forecasting Oceanic Cyclones at the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center. 50th Numerical Weather Prediction Symp., Camp Springs, MD.

Von Ahn, J.M. and J.M. Sienkiewicz, 2004: The Operational Impact of QuikSCAT Winds at the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center.

Von Ahn, J.M., J.M. Sienkiewicz, J. Copridge, J. Min, and T. Crutch, 2004: Hurricane Force Extratropical Cyclones as Observed by the QuikSCAT Scatterometer. Preprints, 8th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface, Seattle, WA.

ArcGIS Story Maps:

Byrd, J., 2022: North Pacific Hurricane Force Lows – Spring 2020 to Spring 2021. (Access data 1, data 2).

Collins, T., 2022: 2021/22 OPC N Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Events. (Access source data).

Collins, T., 2021: 2020/21 OPC N Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Events. (Access source data).

Collins, T., 2020: 2019/20 OPC N Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Events. (Access source data).

Collins, T., 2019: 2018/19 OPC N Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Events. (Access source data).

Kells, J., 2019: North Pacific Hurricane Force Lows – 2018/2019 Summary.

Collins, T., 2018: 2017/18 OPC Hurricane Force Wind Events. (Access source data).

Kells, J., 2016: North Pacific Extratropical Hurricane Force Low Centers.

Miller, A., 2016: Hurricane Sandy's Effect on Ship Traffic.

Informal Articles and Other Publications:

Casamassina, N., 2018: Spatial Analysis of Ship Traffic in the North Atlantic Ocean During Severe Weather from March 12–19, 2018.

Korner, A., 2018: Application of Sea-Level Pressure and Wind Speeds Climatology in Marine Weather Forecast Operations.

Sienkiewicz, J.M., 2016: Shapiro-Keyser Cyclone Model.

Miller, A., 2016: Spatial Analysis of Hurricane Sandy's Effect on Ship Traffic - Poster.

Vukits, P., 2012: COMET Winter Weather Course.

Daniels, R. and J.M. Sienkiewicz, 2009: Evaluation Report for the NOAA Real Time Ocean Forecast System Atlantic (RT_OFS_ATL).

Sienkiewicz, J.M. and L. Chesneau, 2008: Mariner's Guide to the 500-Millibar Chart. Published in Mariners Weather Log.

Sienkiewicz, J.M. and L. Chesneau, 1995: Mariner's Guide to the 500-Millibar Chart. Published in Mariners Weather Log.

Bader, et al: Types of Cyclogenesis (From Images in Weather Forecasting).

Sienkiewicz, J.M.: Frontal Evaluation of the January 2011 North Pacific Monster Cyclone.

Sienkiewicz, J.M.: Smigelski-Mogil-Burt Technique for Estimating Central Pressure of Extratropical Cyclones.

Sienkiewicz, J.M., Schultz and Wernli: Determining Midlatitude Cyclone Structure and Evolution from the Upper-Level Flow.

Von Ahn, J.U.: The Impact of QuikSCAT Winds on the Issuance of Marine Wind Warnings.